BSS
  04 Mar 2024, 14:54

Super Tuesday, America's multi-state voting bonanza

WASHINGTON, March 4, 2024 (BSS/AFP) - Americans from 15 states and one

territory vote simultaneously on "Super Tuesday," a campaign calendar
milestone expected to leave Donald Trump a hair's breadth from securing the
Republican Party's presidential nomination.

Typically, the event -- the biggest single day of voting in the country's
drawn out, state-by-state primary season -- has been a make-or-break moment
for candidates as the race narrows.

On the Republican side, more than a third of the delegates who will be
assigned to the party's national nominating convention in July are up for
grabs on March 5.

But Trump, despite his legal woes, has swept all early state primaries and
Super Tuesday is seen as the last real chance for challenger Nikki Haley to
upend the former president's march towards becoming the party's flagbearer
once again.

There is even less high-stakes drama on the Democratic front, as incumbent
President Joe Biden is widely expected to be renominated for the job by his
party -- and likely setting up a rematch with Trump.

Here are key elements to watch for on Super Tuesday:

- Millions casting ballots -

Tens of millions of Americans are eligible to vote in primaries and caucuses
Tuesday, with contests to be held from Maine in the northeast to California
on the West Coast, as well as the remote Pacific territory of American Samoa.

Primaries or caucuses are also scheduled in Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas,
Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee,
Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia.

Alaska's vote will only cover the Republican primary, with the state's
Democrats voting in April.

Republicans already held their contest in Iowa earlier this year, but on
Tuesday Democrats will announce the winner of their mail-in vote in that
state.

- Predictable outcome? -

In years past, success on Super Tuesday has required a tremendous ground
game, top-notch fundraising and serious momentum.

The contest has previously showcased the nation's social and economic
diversity, providing an opportunity for candidates to demonstrate their
ability -- or not -- to draw from a broad swath of voters from different
backgrounds and across different regions.

But Biden has been running without any serious challengers -- typical for
incumbent presidents.

And Trump, meanwhile, has steamrolled past his early Republican challengers,
with only Haley, his former UN ambassador, left standing.

At stake Tuesday on the Republican side are 874 delegates -- more than a
third of the 2,429 delegates who will officially vote for candidates at the
party's July nominating convention, offering Trump a chance to all but sew up
his runaway lead, barring a major surprise.

With Trump claiming major support among Republicans, especially in the
largest states California and Texas, his campaign predicts he will win at
least 773 delegates on Super Tuesday and surpass the magic number needed to
secure the nomination about two weeks later.

- Haley stays in race -

Haley, a former South Carolina governor, has not won a single contest so far,
but did clinch 40 percent of the vote in New Hampshire and South Carolina --
a sign, she argues, that the party remains divided over Trump. Haley
maintains she would fare better than her rival in a general election matchup
against Biden.

She has previously pledged to stay in the race through Super Tuesday --
though another slate of losses could doom her campaign.

Haley has argued that a majority of voters are opposed to a rematch between
"chaos" candidate Trump and Biden -- two aging men aged 77 and 81
respectively -- who she says are past their prime.

But analysts see Haley deciding to remain in the hunt largely in the event
Trump gets laid low by his legal woes or other circumstances such as ill
health.